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Table 12  (Gen.)
Macroeconomic Framework a)(Projections)  (2011-2014)
gen12e
Indicator	Unit	Projections
		2011	2012	2013	2014
1.Real Sector
a) GDP of Market Prices	Rs. Bn	6,440.0	7,405.0	8,513.0	979.0
b) Real GDP Growth	%	8.5	9.0	9.5	9.5
c) GDP Deflator	%	6.0	5.5	5.0	5.0
d) Per Capita GDP	US$	2,794.0	3,200.0	3,660.0	4,190.0
e) Total Investment	% of GDP	29.5	32.0	33.0	34.0
f)  Domestic Savings	% of GDP	19.9	23.2	25.0	27.0
g) National Savings	% of GDP	25.8	29.1	30.7	32.3
2.External Sector
a) Trade Gap	US$ Mn	-6,763.0	-7,399.0	-7,993.0	-8,531.0
Exports	US$ Mn	9,626.0	10,876.0	12,341.0	14,027.0
Imports	US$ Mn	16,389.0	18,275.0	20,334.0	22,558.0
b) Sevices (net)	US$ Mn	1,148.0	1,487.0	1,778.0	2,209.0
c) Current Account Balance	US$ Mn	-2,140.0	-1,953.0	-1,778.0	-1,500.0
d) Current Account Balance	% of GDP	-3.7	-2.9	-2.2	-1.7
e) Overall Balance	US$ Mn	775.0	525.0	825.0	1,325.0
f)  External Offcial Reserves d) e)	US$ Mn	8,004.0	8,938.0	9,668.0	10,281.0
g) Debt Service Ratiof)	%	13.5	16.2	12.6	14.3
3.Fiscal Sector
a) Total Revenue and Grants	% of GDP	15.6	16.3	16.6	16.7
Total Revenue	% of GDP	15.2	16.0	16.5	16.5
Grants	% of GDP	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.2
b) Expenditure and Net Lending	% of GDP	22.4	21.5	21.3	21.5
c) Current Account Balance	% of GDP	-0.1	1.0	1.7	1.6
d) Overall Budget Deficit	% of GDP	-6.8	-5.2	-4.8	-4.8
e)  Domestic Financing	% of GDP	4.6	4.2	3.9	3.9
f) Government Debt	% of GDP	80.0	75.0	71.0	67.0
4.Financial Sector g)
a) Reserve Money Growth	%	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5
b) Broad Money Growth	%	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5
c) Change in Credit to Movement	Rs. Bn	42.0	32.4	25.0	0.0
d) Change in Credit to Private Sector	Rs. Bn	281.3	303.1	340.1	383.7
e) Growth in Credit to Private Sector	%	18.8	17.1	16.4	15.9
© ２０１1， KRI (Kusaka Research Institute)
Source;
Ministry of Finance and Planning, Department of Census and Statistics, Central Bank of Sri Lanka
key;
(a) Based on the information available by mid March 2011,   (b) Revised,    (c) Provisional
(d) Excluding receipts of Asian Clearing Union
(e) External official reserves include the proceeds from the IMF Stand-by Arrangement facility-2009
(f) Total debt service payments as a percentage of earnings from exports of goods and services
(g) Year-in-year growth in the end year values
Revised:  2011(y)/07(m)/30(d)
Chief Editor:
Dr. Milton Rajaratne (B.Com., M.Sc., Ph.D.)
The Former Head, Department of Management Studies,  University of Peradeniya, Sri Lanka